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Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a little however spirited 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to respond to humankind's hardest questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pressing questions that are less easy to pin down. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at forecasting the future (and have seen some interesting enhancements - research paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion specification model which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from lots of months ago so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified territory to make its finest forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We posed the following questions to our AI and gauged its response. While we have actually seen prediction enhancements from our training, utilize these estimates for prop betting at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been encouraging of his career, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her loved ones to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are thrilled, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially given comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.

I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, perhaps around 5%, considering all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm attempting to figure out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the move. The short article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is quite high. ... I also need to think about the protective techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are mindful of the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might change their defense appropriately, which might either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 seems like a significant number however possible provided their confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, confidence in the strategy, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it numerous times, specifically if it's efficient early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That appears considerable because it shows he's done it in the past, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent posts, it points out that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on personal expression. That could mean he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's also associated with a fight with Drake, which may offer him reasons to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement fit from Drake, so perhaps he's careful about including any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent event, Lamar may feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there's a danger that such material may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant proceed big phases. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which may offer him more creative freedom. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.

But I also remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could show he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal issues, and the event's context-the likelihood seems to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the truth that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Looks like theres rather of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't indicate to cause offense and that he really discovered it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the posts, bphomesteading.com it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for bbarlock.com food, which suggests that he's a person who enjoys consuming, specifically with his team. So, if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and believes anything can occur when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to determine the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historic information that may affect this prediction.

First, I review the articles offered. They all mention the historical data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has turned up more often than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, users.atw.hu tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, but it's not a huge difference.

However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is generally considered random. The small historic edge for tails might be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, often individuals weigh historic data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I must consider whether this historical bias ought to influence the likelihood.

After believing about it, I decide that while the historic information reveals a minor choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial enough to move the likelihood away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists however does not bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely think the same. BUT, its official now since our AI states the possibilities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the probability that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty serious accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of articles that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful contact recent games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their team loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "ridiculous." They state there's no proof of methodical bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may indicate there's no real basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some fact to it.

Looking at the posts, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that statistical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been penalized more given that 2022. That's interesting since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting everything together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero because you can't dismiss every possibility, however exceptionally unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth enjoying the video game still? I think I'll need to wait and see how the video game turns out before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hi, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.

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